by Steve Flowers
March 30, 2016:
This has been an exciting election year when it comes to presidential politics. It has been an extraordinarily unusual and unpredictable presidential contest to say the least, especially on the Republican side.
The GOP race began with an extraordinarily large field. There were 17 candidates as the race began, all with exceptional credentials. The one with the least experience and political resume is the one left standing. One Donald J. Trump has been the story of the year.
As we head into the last three months leading up to the nominating convention, conventional wisdom has Donald Trump being the Republican nominee and Hillary Clinton being the Democratic nominee. If that indeed is the case, you will have two brash New Yorkers pitted against each other with the probability of a Titanic colorful dual headed into the fall campaign. It will be a fun show to watch. It will not be lacking for controversy, acrimony and entertainment.
We will have been an important part of the nominating process here in the Heart of Dixie. On Super Tuesday we were a part of the nationwide momentum that probably propelled Trump and Clinton to their parties’ respective nominations. We seem to be lockstep with the rest of the country as we have joined the Trump and Clinton trains.
In the past several presidential election cycles we in the south have been different than the rest of the country, particularly on the GOP ledger. We have sided with the evangelical candidate in the race. Not so this year. We here in Alabama, as well as all of our sister southern states, chose Trump in a resounding fashion.
Donald Trump, a less than humble, very worldly, casino owner and developer, won every Alabama county garnering 44% of the vote and collecting 36 of Alabama’s 50 delegates to the GOP convention. Texas Senator Ted Cruz, the avowed evangelical candidate, was a distant second with 21% of the vote and will be allotted 13 delegates. Marco Rubio was third with 17%. Ben Carson got 10% and Governor Bentley’s choice, Ohio Governor John Kasich, received 4%.
Trump’s campaign brought out a record turnout on primary election day, as well as a record-breaking crowd in Madison/Huntsville the Sunday before the primaries. There were an estimated 25,000 people in attendance in Madison County, where our popular Junior U.S. Senator Jeff Sessions endorsed Trump. He had over 30,000 fans show up in Mobile when he first began his campaign last year. There have not been crowds that large in Alabama politics since the Wallace era.
There were 60% more people voting in our Republican primary than in 2008 and 40% more than 2012. These 865,000 Republican votes cast in our GOP primary – a record turnout – were primarily due to the fervor of the Trump campaign.
Democratic front runner Hillary Clinton beat socialist Bernie Sanders 80% to 20% due largely to a 90% support from Alabama’s African-American voters. There were 382,000 Democratic voters on March 1.
Our Senior U.S. Senator Richard Shelby won the Republican nomination to an unprecedented 6th six-year term with a very impressive victory. Shelby received 65% of the vote against four opponents. All four were political novices. However, getting 65% with four challengers is very strong.
Four incumbent Republican Congress people, who were challenged in the primary, won overwhelmingly. U.S. Representatives Robert Aderholt in the 4th, Mike Rogers in the 3rd, Martha Roby in the 2nd, and Bradley Byrne in the 1st districts, won big. Martha Roby and Bradley Byrne were challenged by extreme right wing candidates but prevailed impressively.
PSC President Twinkle Cavanaugh defeated challenger Terry Dunn by a 63 to 37 margin. She will continue at the helm of the three-member utility regulating panel.
Longtime state school board members Stephanie Bell and Ella Bell, both of Montgomery, won reelection.
Shelby County approved Sunday liquor sales by at 4 to 1 margin and two of the last dry counties in the state, Clay and Chilton, went wet. These two referendums portend how overwhelmingly Alabamians would vote in favor of the lottery/casino deal if allowed to vote on this issue.
See you next week.
Steve Flowers is Alabama’s leading political columnist. His weekly column appears in over 60 Alabama newspapers. He served 16 years in the state legislature. Steve may be reached at www.steveflowers.us.